@article{Stewart-2023-The,
title = "The Occurrence of Near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C Surface Air Temperatures in the Current and Pseudo‐Global Warming Future Over Southern Canada",
author = "Stewart, Ronald E. and
Liu, Z. and
Th{\'e}riault, Julie M. and
Ruman, C. J. and
Stewart, Ronald E. and
Liu, Z. and
Th{\'e}riault, Julie M. and
Ruman, C. J.",
journal = "Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 128, Issue 6",
volume = "128",
number = "6",
year = "2023",
publisher = "American Geophysical Union (AGU)",
url = "https://gwf-uwaterloo.github.io/gwf-publications/G23-76001",
doi = "10.1029/2022jd037981",
abstract = "Abstract Temperatures near 0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C represent a critical threshold for many environmental processes and socio‐economic activities. This study examines surface air temperatures ( T ) near 0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C (−2{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C {\mbox{$\leq$}} T {\mbox{$\leq$}} 2{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C) across much of southern Canada over a 13 year period (October 2000{--}September 2013). It utilized hourly data from 39 weather stations and from 4‐km resolution Weather Research and Forecasting model simulations that were both a retrospective simulation as well as a pseudo‐global warming simulation applicable near the end of the 21st century. Average annual occurrences of near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C conditions increase by a relatively small amount of 5.1{\%} from 985 hr in the current climate to 1,035 hr within the future one. Near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C occurrences with precipitation vary from {\textless}5{\%} to approximately 50{\%} of these values. Near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C occurrences are sometimes higher than values of neighboring temperatures. These near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C peaks in temperature distributions can occur in both the current and future climate, in only one, or in neither. Only 4.3{\%} of southern Canada is not associated with a near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C peak and 65.8{\%} is associated with a near‐0{\mbox{$^\circ$}}C peak in both climates. It is inferred that latent heat exchanges from the melting and freezing of, for example, precipitation and the snowpack contribute significantly to some of these findings.",
}
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<abstract>Abstract Temperatures near 0°C represent a critical threshold for many environmental processes and socio‐economic activities. This study examines surface air temperatures ( T ) near 0°C (−2°C łeq T łeq 2°C) across much of southern Canada over a 13 year period (October 2000–September 2013). It utilized hourly data from 39 weather stations and from 4‐km resolution Weather Research and Forecasting model simulations that were both a retrospective simulation as well as a pseudo‐global warming simulation applicable near the end of the 21st century. Average annual occurrences of near‐0°C conditions increase by a relatively small amount of 5.1% from 985 hr in the current climate to 1,035 hr within the future one. Near‐0°C occurrences with precipitation vary from \textless5% to approximately 50% of these values. Near‐0°C occurrences are sometimes higher than values of neighboring temperatures. These near‐0°C peaks in temperature distributions can occur in both the current and future climate, in only one, or in neither. Only 4.3% of southern Canada is not associated with a near‐0°C peak and 65.8% is associated with a near‐0°C peak in both climates. It is inferred that latent heat exchanges from the melting and freezing of, for example, precipitation and the snowpack contribute significantly to some of these findings.</abstract>
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%0 Journal Article
%T The Occurrence of Near‐0°C Surface Air Temperatures in the Current and Pseudo‐Global Warming Future Over Southern Canada
%A Stewart, Ronald E.
%A Liu, Z.
%A Thériault, Julie M.
%A Ruman, C. J.
%J Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 128, Issue 6
%D 2023
%V 128
%N 6
%I American Geophysical Union (AGU)
%F Stewart-2023-The
%X Abstract Temperatures near 0°C represent a critical threshold for many environmental processes and socio‐economic activities. This study examines surface air temperatures ( T ) near 0°C (−2°C łeq T łeq 2°C) across much of southern Canada over a 13 year period (October 2000–September 2013). It utilized hourly data from 39 weather stations and from 4‐km resolution Weather Research and Forecasting model simulations that were both a retrospective simulation as well as a pseudo‐global warming simulation applicable near the end of the 21st century. Average annual occurrences of near‐0°C conditions increase by a relatively small amount of 5.1% from 985 hr in the current climate to 1,035 hr within the future one. Near‐0°C occurrences with precipitation vary from \textless5% to approximately 50% of these values. Near‐0°C occurrences are sometimes higher than values of neighboring temperatures. These near‐0°C peaks in temperature distributions can occur in both the current and future climate, in only one, or in neither. Only 4.3% of southern Canada is not associated with a near‐0°C peak and 65.8% is associated with a near‐0°C peak in both climates. It is inferred that latent heat exchanges from the melting and freezing of, for example, precipitation and the snowpack contribute significantly to some of these findings.
%R 10.1029/2022jd037981
%U https://gwf-uwaterloo.github.io/gwf-publications/G23-76001
%U https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jd037981
Markdown (Informal)
[The Occurrence of Near‐0°C Surface Air Temperatures in the Current and Pseudo‐Global Warming Future Over Southern Canada](https://gwf-uwaterloo.github.io/gwf-publications/G23-76001) (Stewart et al., GWF 2023)
ACL
- Ronald E. Stewart, Z. Liu, Julie M. Thériault, C. J. Ruman, Ronald E. Stewart, Z. Liu, Julie M. Thériault, and C. J. Ruman. 2023. The Occurrence of Near‐0°C Surface Air Temperatures in the Current and Pseudo‐Global Warming Future Over Southern Canada. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 128, Issue 6, 128(6).