Carlo Marín
2021
Evaluating a prediction system for snow management
Pirmin Philipp Ebner,
Franziska Koch,
Valentina Premier,
Carlo Marín,
Florian Hanzer,
Carlo Maria Carmagnola,
Hugues François,
Daniel Günther,
Fabiano Monti,
Olivier Hargoaa,
Ulrich Strasser,
Samuel Morin,
Michael Lehning
The Cryosphere, Volume 15, Issue 8
Abstract. The evaluation of snowpack models capable of accounting for snow management in ski resorts is a major step towards acceptance of such models in supporting the daily decision-making process of snow production managers. In the framework of the EU Horizon 2020 (H2020) project PROSNOW, a service to enable real-time optimization of grooming and snow-making in ski resorts was developed. We applied snow management strategies integrated in the snowpack simulations of AMUNDSEN, Crocus, and SNOWPACK–Alpine3D for nine PROSNOW ski resorts located in the European Alps. We assessed the performance of the snow simulations for five winter seasons (2015–2020) using both ground-based data (GNSS-measured snow depth) and spaceborne snow maps (Copernicus Sentinel-2). Particular attention has been devoted to characterizing the spatial performance of the simulated piste snow management at a resolution of 10 m. The simulated results showed a high overall accuracy of more than 80 % for snow-covered areas compared to the Sentinel-2 data. Moreover, the correlation to the ground observation data was high. Potential sources for local differences in the snow depth between the simulations and the measurements are mainly the impact of snow redistribution by skiers; compensation of uneven terrain when grooming; or spontaneous local adaptions of the snow management, which were not reflected in the simulations. Subdividing each individual ski resort into differently sized ski resort reference units (SRUs) based on topography showed a slight decrease in mean deviation. Although this work shows plausible and robust results on the ski slope scale by all three snowpack models, the accuracy of the results is mainly dependent on the detailed representation of the real-world snow management practices in the models. As snow management assessment and prediction systems get integrated into the workflow of resort managers, the formulation of snow management can be refined in the future.
2019
A Novel Data Fusion Technique for Snow Cover Retrieval
Ludovica De Gregorio,
Mattia Callegari,
Carlo Marín,
Marc Zebisch,
Lorenzo Bruzzone,
Begüm Demir,
Ulrich Strasser,
Thomas Marke,
Daniel Günther,
Rudi Nadalet,
Claudia Notarnicola
IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, Volume 12, Issue 8
This paper presents a novel data fusion technique for improving the snow cover monitoring for a mesoscale Alpine region, in particular in those areas where two information sources disagree. The presented methodological innovation consists in the integration of remote-sensing data products and the numerical simulation results by means of a machine learning classifier (support vector machine), capable to extract information from their quality measures. This differs from the existing approaches where remote sensing is only used for model tuning or data assimilation. The technique has been tested to generate a time series of about 1300 snow maps for the period between October 2012 and July 2016. The results show an average agreement between the fused product and the reference ground data of 96%, compared to 90% of the moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) data product and 92% of the numerical model simulation. Moreover, one of the most important results is observed from the analysis of snow cover area (SCA) time series, where the fused product seems to overcome the well-known underestimation of snow in forest of the MODIS product, by accurately reproducing the SCA peaks of winter season.
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Co-authors
- Ulrich Strasser 2
- Daniel Günther 2
- Ludovica De Gregorio 1
- Mattia Callegari 1
- Marc Zebisch 1
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