2022
Abstract. Human-controlled reservoirs have a large influence on the global water cycle. While global hydrological models use generic parametrisations to model human dam operations, the representation of reservoir regulation is often still lacking in Earth System Models. Here we implement and evaluate a widely used reservoir parametrisation in the global river routing model mizuRoute, which operates on a vector-based river network resolving individual lakes and reservoirs, and which is currently being coupled to an Earth System Model. We develop an approach to determine the downstream area over which to aggregate irrigation water demand per reservoir. The implementation of managed reservoirs is evaluated by comparing to simulations ignoring inland waters, and simulations with reservoirs represented as natural lakes, using (i) local simulations for 26 individual reservoirs driven by observed inflows, and (ii) global-scale simulations driven by runoff from the Community Land Model. The local simulations show a clear added value of the reservoir parametrisation, especially for simulating storage for large reservoirs with a multi-year storage capacity. In the global-scale application, the implementation of reservoirs shows an improvement in outflow and storage compared to the no-reservoir simulation, but compared to the natural lake parametrisation, an overall similar performance is found. This lack of impact could be attributed to biases in simulated river discharge, mainly originating from biases in simulated runoff from the Community Land Model. Finally, the comparison of modelled monthly streamflow indices against observations highlights that the inclusion of dam operations improves the streamflow simulation compared to ignoring lakes and reservoirs. This study overall underlines the need to further develop and test water management parametrisations, as well as to improve runoff simulations for advancing the representation of anthropogenic interference with the terrestrial water cycle in Earth System Models.
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Evaluating a reservoir parametrization in the vector-based global routing model mizuRoute (v2.0.1) for Earth system model coupling
Inne Vanderkelen,
Shervan Gharari,
Naoki Mizukami,
Martyn P. Clark,
David M. Lawrence,
Sean Swenson,
Yadu Pokhrel,
Naota Hanasaki,
Ann van Griensven,
Wim Thiery
Geoscientific Model Development, Volume 15, Issue 10
Abstract. Human-controlled reservoirs have a large influence on the global water cycle. While global hydrological models use generic parameterizations to model dam operations, the representation of reservoir regulation is still lacking in many Earth system models. Here we implement and evaluate a widely used reservoir parametrization in the global river-routing model mizuRoute, which operates on a vector-based river network resolving individual lakes and reservoirs and is currently being coupled to an Earth system model. We develop an approach to determine the downstream area over which to aggregate irrigation water demand per reservoir. The implementation of managed reservoirs is evaluated by comparing them to simulations ignoring inland waters and simulations with reservoirs represented as natural lakes using (i) local simulations for 26 individual reservoirs driven by observed inflows and (ii) global-domain simulations driven by runoff from the Community Land Model. The local simulations show the clear added value of the reservoir parametrization, especially for simulating storage for large reservoirs with a multi-year storage capacity. In the global-domain application, the implementation of reservoirs shows an improvement in outflow and storage compared to the no-reservoir simulation, but a similar performance is found compared to the natural lake parametrization. The limited impact of reservoirs on skill statistics could be attributed to biases in simulated river discharge, mainly originating from biases in simulated runoff from the Community Land Model. Finally, the comparison of modelled monthly streamflow indices against observations highlights that including dam operations improves the streamflow simulation compared to ignoring lakes and reservoirs. This study overall underlines the need to further develop and test runoff simulations and water management parameterizations in order to improve the representation of anthropogenic interference of the terrestrial water cycle in Earth system models.
2021
Reservoir expansion over the last century has largely affected downstream flow characteristics. Yet very little is known about the impacts of reservoir expansion on the climate. Here, we implement reservoir construction in the Community Land Model by enabling dynamical lake area changes, while conserving mass and energy. Transient global lake and reservoir extent are prescribed from the HydroLAKES and Global Reservoir and Dam databases. Land-only simulations covering the 20th century with reservoir expansion enabled, highlight increases in terrestrial water storage and decreases in albedo matching the increase in open water area. The comparison of coupled simulations including and excluding reservoirs shows only limited influence of reservoirs on global temperatures and the surface energy balance, but demonstrates substantial responses locally, in particular where reservoirs make up a large fraction of the grid cell. In those locations, reservoirs dampen the diurnal temperature range by up to −1.5 K (for reservoirs covering >15% of the grid cell), reduce temperature extremes, and moderate the seasonal temperature cycle. This study provides a first step towards a coupled representation of reservoirs in Earth System Models.
2020
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Carbon release through abrupt permafrost thaw
M. R. Turetsky,
Benjamin W. Abbott,
Miriam C. Jones,
K. M. Walter Anthony,
David Olefeldt,
Edward A. G. Schuur,
Guido Grosse,
Peter Kuhry,
Gustaf Hugelius,
Charles D. Koven,
David M. Lawrence,
Carolyn Gibson,
A. Britta K. Sannel,
A. David McGuire
Nature Geoscience, Volume 13, Issue 2
2019
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Hillslope Hydrology in Global Change Research and Earth System Modeling
Ying Fan,
Martyn P. Clark,
David M. Lawrence,
Sean Swenson,
Lawrence E. Band,
Susan L. Brantley,
P. D. Brooks,
W. E. Dietrich,
Alejandro N. Flores,
Gordon E. Grant,
James W. Kirchner,
D. S. Mackay,
Jeffrey J. McDonnell,
P. C. D. Milly,
Pamela L. Sullivan,
Christina Tague,
Hoori Ajami,
Nathaniel W. Chaney,
Andreas Hartmann,
P. Hazenberg,
J. P. McNamara,
Jon D. Pelletier,
J. Perket,
Elham Rouholahnejad Freund,
Thorsten Wagener,
Xubin Zeng,
R. Edward Beighley,
J. R. Buzan,
Maoyi Huang,
Ben Livneh,
Binayak P. Mohanty,
Bart Nijssen,
Mohammad Safeeq,
Chaopeng Shen,
Willem van Verseveld,
John Volk,
Dai Yamazaki
Water Resources Research, Volume 55, Issue 2
Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding and predicting global change, but they cannot explicitly resolve hillslope‐scale terrain structures that fundamentally organize water, energy, and biogeochemical stores and fluxes at subgrid scales. Here we bring together hydrologists, Critical Zone scientists, and ESM developers, to explore how hillslope structures may modulate ESM grid‐level water, energy, and biogeochemical fluxes. In contrast to the one‐dimensional (1‐D), 2‐ to 3‐m deep, and free‐draining soil hydrology in most ESM land models, we hypothesize that 3‐D, lateral ridge‐to‐valley flow through shallow and deep paths and insolation contrasts between sunny and shady slopes are the top two globally quantifiable organizers of water and energy (and vegetation) within an ESM grid cell. We hypothesize that these two processes are likely to impact ESM predictions where (and when) water and/or energy are limiting. We further hypothesize that, if implemented in ESM land models, these processes will increase simulated continental water storage and residence time, buffering terrestrial ecosystems against seasonal and interannual droughts. We explore efficient ways to capture these mechanisms in ESMs and identify critical knowledge gaps preventing us from scaling up hillslope to global processes. One such gap is our extremely limited knowledge of the subsurface, where water is stored (supporting vegetation) and released to stream baseflow (supporting aquatic ecosystems). We conclude with a set of organizing hypotheses and a call for global syntheses activities and model experiments to assess the impact of hillslope hydrology on global change predictions.
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The Community Land Model Version 5: Description of New Features, Benchmarking, and Impact of Forcing Uncertainty
David M. Lawrence,
Rosie A. Fisher,
Charles D. Koven,
Keith W. Oleson,
Sean Swenson,
G. B. Bonan,
Nathan Collier,
Bardan Ghimire,
Leo van Kampenhout,
Daniel Kennedy,
Erik Kluzek,
Fang Li,
Hongyi Li,
Danica Lombardozzi,
William J. Riley,
William J. Sacks,
Mingjie Shi,
Mariana Vertenstein,
William R. Wieder,
Chonggang Xu,
Ashehad A. Ali,
Andrew M. Badger,
Gautam Bisht,
Michiel van den Broeke,
Michael A. Brunke,
Sean P. Burns,
J. R. Buzan,
Martyn P. Clark,
Anthony P Craig,
Kyla M. Dahlin,
Beth Drewniak,
Joshua B. Fisher,
M. Flanner,
A. M. Fox,
Pierre Gentine,
Forrest M. Hoffman,
G. Keppel‐Aleks,
R. G. Knox,
Sanjiv Kumar,
Jan T. M. Lenaerts,
L. Ruby Leung,
William H. Lipscomb,
Yaqiong Lü,
Ashutosh Pandey,
Jon D. Pelletier,
J. Perket,
James T. Randerson,
Daniel M. Ricciuto,
Benjamin M. Sanderson,
A. G. Slater,
Z. M. Subin,
Jinyun Tang,
R. Quinn Thomas,
Maria Val Martin,
Xubin Zeng
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Volume 11, Issue 12
The Community Land Model (CLM) is the land component of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and is used in several global and regional modeling systems. In this paper, we introduce model developments included in CLM version 5 (CLM5), which is the default land component for CESM2. We assess an ensemble of simulations, including prescribed and prognostic vegetation state, multiple forcing data sets, and CLM4, CLM4.5, and CLM5, against a range of metrics including from the International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMBv2) package. CLM5 includes new and updated processes and parameterizations: (1) dynamic land units, (2) updated parameterizations and structure for hydrology and snow (spatially explicit soil depth, dry surface layer, revised groundwater scheme, revised canopy interception and canopy snow processes, updated fresh snow density, simple firn model, and Model for Scale Adaptive River Transport), (3) plant hydraulics and hydraulic redistribution, (4) revised nitrogen cycling (flexible leaf stoichiometry, leaf N optimization for photosynthesis, and carbon costs for plant nitrogen uptake), (5) global crop model with six crop types and time‐evolving irrigated areas and fertilization rates, (6) updated urban building energy, (7) carbon isotopes, and (8) updated stomatal physiology. New optional features include demographically structured dynamic vegetation model (Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator), ozone damage to plants, and fire trace gas emissions coupling to the atmosphere. Conclusive establishment of improvement or degradation of individual variables or metrics is challenged by forcing uncertainty, parametric uncertainty, and model structural complexity, but the multivariate metrics presented here suggest a general broad improvement from CLM4 to CLM5.
The concept of using representative hillslopes to simulate hydrologically similar areas of a catchment has been incorporated in many hydrologic models but few Earth system models. Here we describe a configuration of the Community Land Model version 5 in which each grid cell is decomposed into one or more multicolumn hillslopes. Within each hillslope, the intercolumn connectivity is specified, and the lateral saturated subsurface flow from each column is passed to its downslope neighbor. We first apply the model to simulate a headwater catchment and assess the results against runoff and evapotranspiration flux measurements. By redistributing soil water within the catchment, the model is able to reproduce the observed difference between evapotranspiration in the upland and lowland portions of the catchment. Next, global simulations based on hypothetical hillslope geomorphic parameters are used to show the model's sensitivity to differences in hillslope shape and discretization. Differences in evapotranspiration between upland and lowland hillslope columns are found to be largest in arid and semiarid regions, while humid tropical and high‐latitude regions show limited evapotranspiration increases in lowlands relative to uplands.
Increasingly, climate change impact assessments rely directly on climate models. Assessments of future water security depend in part on how the land model components in climate models partition precipitation into evapotranspiration and runoff, and on the sensitivity of this partitioning to climate. Runoff sensitivities are not well constrained, with CMIP5 models displaying a large spread for the present day, which projects onto change under warming, creating uncertainty. Here we show that constraining CMIP5 model runoff sensitivities with observed estimates could reduce uncertainty in runoff projection over the western United States by up to 50%. We urge caution in the direct use of climate model runoff for applications and encourage model development to use regional-scale hydrological sensitivity metrics to improve projections for water security assessments.
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Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release
M. R. Turetsky,
Benjamin W. Abbott,
Miriam C. Jones,
K. M. Walter Anthony,
David Olefeldt,
Edward A. G. Schuur,
C. Koven,
A. D. McGuire,
Guido Grosse,
Peter Kuhry,
Gustaf Hugelius,
David M. Lawrence,
Carolyn Gibson,
A. Britta K. Sannel
Nature, Volume 569, Issue 7754
The sudden collapse of thawing soils in the Arctic might double the warming from greenhouse gases released from tundra, warn Merritt R. Turetsky and colleagues. The sudden collapse of thawing soils in the Arctic might double the warming from greenhouse gases released from tundra, warn Merritt R. Turetsky and colleagues.
2018
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ESM-SnowMIP: assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks
Gerhard Krinner,
Chris Derksen,
Richard Essery,
M. Flanner,
Stefan Hagemann,
Martyn P. Clark,
Alex Hall,
Helmut Rott,
Claire Brutel‐Vuilmet,
Hyungjun Kim,
Cécile B. Ménard,
Lawrence Mudryk,
Chad W. Thackeray,
Libo Wang,
Gabriele Arduini,
Gianpaolo Balsamo,
Paul Bartlett,
Julia Boike,
Aaron Boone,
F. Chéruy,
Jeanne Colin,
Matthias Cuntz,
Yongjiu Dai,
Bertrand Decharme,
Jeff Derry,
Agnès Ducharne,
Emanuel Dutra,
Xing Fang,
Charles Fierz,
Josephine Ghattas,
Yeugeniy M. Gusev,
Vanessa Haverd,
Anna Kontu,
Matthieu Lafaysse,
R. M. Law,
David M. Lawrence,
Weiping Li,
Thomas Marke,
Danny Marks,
Martin Ménégoz,
О. Н. Насонова,
Tomoko Nitta,
Michio Niwano,
John W. Pomeroy,
M. S. Raleigh,
Gerd Schaedler,
В. А. Семенов,
Tanya Smirnova,
Tobias Stacke,
Ulrich Strasser,
Sean Svenson,
Dmitry Turkov,
Tao Wang,
Nander Wever,
Hua Yuan,
Wenyan Zhou,
Dan Zhu
Geoscientific Model Development, Volume 11, Issue 12
Abstract. This paper describes ESM-SnowMIP, an international coordinated modelling effort to evaluate current snow schemes, including snow schemes that are included in Earth system models, in a wide variety of settings against local and global observations. The project aims to identify crucial processes and characteristics that need to be improved in snow models in the context of local- and global-scale modelling. A further objective of ESM-SnowMIP is to better quantify snow-related feedbacks in the Earth system. Although it is not part of the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), ESM-SnowMIP is tightly linked to the CMIP6-endorsed Land Surface, Snow and Soil Moisture Model Intercomparison (LS3MIP).