Hydrology Research, Volume 54, Issue 2


Anthology ID:
G23-43
Month:
Year:
2023
Address:
Venue:
GWF
SIG:
Publisher:
IWA Publishing
URL:
https://gwf-uwaterloo.github.io/gwf-publications/G23-43
DOI:
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Extension and refinement of a stochastic modelling approach to assess ice-jam flood hazard
Karlā€Erich Lindenschmidt

Abstract In the spring of 2020, the town of Fort McMurray, which lies on the banks of the Athabasca River, experienced an ice-jam flood event that was the most severe in approximately 60 years. In order to capture the severity of the event, a stochastic modelling approach, previously developed by the author for ice-jam flood forecasting, has been refined for ice-jam flood hazard and risk assessments and ice-jam mitigation feasibility studies, which is the subject of this paper. Scenarios of artificial breakage demonstrate the applicability of the revised modelling framework.